Nike CEO John Donahoe comes under fire from Wall Street after lackluster performance

US Markets
Friday, June 28th, 2024 6:36 pm EDT

Key Points

  • Dismal Financial Performance and Downgrade: Nike’s CEO, John Donahoe, is under scrutiny after the company reported a 10% expected decline in current quarter sales, far worse than the anticipated 3.2% drop, resulting in a 20% drop in stock value. Multiple investment banks downgraded Nike’s stock, citing management issues and poor financial performance.
  • Strategic Missteps and Market Share Loss: Nike’s shift towards a direct-selling strategy and reduction in classic franchises has alienated core customers and allowed competitors like On Running and Hoka to capture market share. Critics argue that Nike’s lack of innovation and failure to respond to consumer trends, especially post-pandemic, have contributed to its struggles.
  • Calls for Leadership Change: Analysts and investors are calling for a change in Nike’s management, questioning Donahoe’s leadership. Despite these challenges, Nike’s founder, Phil Knight, supports Donahoe, highlighting that annual sales have grown significantly during his tenure, even amidst the pandemic’s impact.

Nike CEO John Donahoe is facing mounting scrutiny from Wall Street after the company reported a disappointing fiscal year and bleak sales projections. Donahoe, who has led Nike since January 2020, saw the company’s stock drop by 20% following the announcement that sales for the current quarter would fall by 10%, significantly worse than the anticipated 3.2% drop. Nike also revised its fiscal 2025 sales forecast to reflect a mid-single-digit decline, contradicting earlier growth expectations. The company’s market value has now dipped to approximately $114 billion.

Several investment banks responded to this grim outlook by downgrading Nike’s stock, with Morgan Stanley and Stifel analysts openly questioning the company’s management. Stifel analyst Jim Duffy criticized the repeated downward revisions in Nike’s sales guidance and expressed doubts about the company’s future growth, indicating a possible need for a change in leadership.

During Donahoe’s tenure, Nike’s stock has underperformed, decreasing by about 25% compared to significant gains in the S&P 500 and the retail-focused ETF. Nike’s financial chief, Matt Friend, attributed the lowered sales forecast to various factors, including challenges in China and adverse foreign exchange rates. However, he acknowledged that some issues stemmed from strategic decisions made under Donahoe’s leadership, such as the shift towards direct sales at the expense of wholesale relationships.

Nike’s strategy to focus on its direct-to-consumer model while scaling back on classic franchises like Air Force 1s and Air Jordans has not resonated well with customers, who have turned to new, innovative competitors. This shift has alienated some of Nike’s core customer base, including runners, who have gravitated towards brands like On Running and Hoka.

Analysts like Jessica Ramírez from Jane Hali & Associates and Kevin McCarthy from Neuberger Berman have highlighted the need for a management overhaul at Nike. Ramírez pointed out that the company failed to adapt to post-pandemic consumer trends, particularly the increased interest in running. McCarthy speculated that Donahoe’s contract might not be renewed, suggesting that new leadership could be imminent.

Despite the current challenges, Nike’s founder and chairman emeritus, Phil Knight, has expressed unwavering support for Donahoe. Knight emphasized his confidence in Nike’s future plans and leadership. Under Donahoe, Nike’s annual sales have grown from $37.4 billion in fiscal 2020 to $51.36 billion in fiscal 2024, showing some positive momentum despite the recent setbacks.

In summary, Nike is at a critical juncture with significant pressure on CEO John Donahoe to turn the company around amid disappointing financial results and strategic missteps. The potential for leadership changes looms as analysts and investors call for a new direction to regain market confidence and align with shifting consumer preferences.

For the full original article on CNBC, please click here: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/28/nike-ceo-john-donahoe-under-fire-from-wall-street.html