Oil rises more than $1 as Powell indicates interest rate cuts likely this year

Energy
Wednesday, March 6th, 2024 4:00 pm EDT

Key Points

  • Crude oil futures rose on Wednesday following indications from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggesting a likely decrease in interest rates later this year, despite the central bank’s cautious approach.
  • The West Texas Intermediate contract for April increased by $1.58, or 2.02%, reaching $79.73 per barrel, while May Brent futures rose by $1.15, or 1.4%, to $83.19 per barrel.
  • Powell’s testimony before the House Financial Services Committee was closely monitored by traders for insights into the central bank’s monetary policy plans. Powell hinted at a potential reduction in policy restraint later in the year if the economy evolves as expected, emphasizing the uncertainty in the economic outlook and the importance of progress toward the 2 percent inflation objective.

Crude oil futures experienced an uptick on Wednesday following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s indications that interest rates are likely to decrease this year, albeit with caution from the central bank. The West Texas Intermediate contract for April rose by $1.58, marking a 2.02% increase to reach $79.73 per barrel, while May Brent futures added $1.15, a 1.4% increase to reach $83.19 per barrel. Powell’s testimony before the House Financial Services Committee was eagerly anticipated by traders for insights into the central bank’s monetary policy plans. In prepared remarks, Powell suggested that the policy rate might have reached its peak for the tightening cycle, hinting at a potential reduction in policy restraint later in the year if economic conditions evolve as expected. However, Powell also emphasized the uncertainty in the economic outlook and the importance of progress toward the 2 percent inflation objective. Lower interest rates typically stimulate economic activity, leading to increased demand for crude oil. Analysts, such as Tamas Varga from oil broker PVM, have highlighted the uncertainty surrounding interest rate cuts as a significant factor affecting oil market dynamics. The upcoming testimony by the Fed chair, along with the European Central Bank’s interest rate decision, could influence market expectations regarding potential rate adjustments. Additionally, the U.S. Energy Information Administration is set to release weekly data on U.S. crude stockpiles later in the day. Oil prices have been gradually rising this year, buoyed by production cuts by OPEC+ and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, contributing to two consecutive months of gains in the oil market.

For the full original article on CNBC, please click here: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/06/crude-oil-prices-today.html