Apple’s stock underperformed top tech peers in 2023 due to longest revenue slide in 22 years

Technology
Friday, December 29th, 2023 8:19 pm EDT

Key Points

  • Declining Revenue and Stock Rally: In 2023, Apple faced a challenging year marked by four consecutive quarters of declining revenue, the longest such decline since the dot-com bust in 2001. Despite a stock rally of 49%, Apple’s performance was overshadowed by its mega-cap tech peers, such as Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft, which posted substantial gains ranging from doubling to tripling in value. The decline in revenue was attributed to both a challenging economic environment for phones and computers, with the slowest summer smartphone sales in over a decade, and company-specific issues, including the absence of new iPad models and a temporary removal of new Apple Watch models due to an intellectual property dispute.
  • Challenges and Solutions: Apple’s troubles in 2023 included weak demand for iPads, with all current models shipping within a day, indicating subdued demand. iPad revenue dropped 3.4% to $28.3 billion, and sales further declined 15% on a unit basis. New Mac computers also faced reduced consumer interest, with sales falling nearly 27% to $10.2 billion in fiscal 2023. Despite these challenges, Apple’s stock managed to rise 49% for the year. To return to revenue growth and support its $3 trillion market cap, Apple is banking on new products, with a big test expected early next year when the Vision Pro, Apple’s first mixed-reality headset, hits the market. The success of the Vision Pro is seen as crucial for Apple’s longer-term potential and its position in the future of computing.
  • Global Challenges and Positive Indicators: Apple faced challenges on the international front, particularly with tensions between the U.S. and China. Despite making progress in diversifying production away from mainland China, there were concerns about Chinese demand for iPhones, especially amid reports of government agencies telling employees not to bring iPhones to work. However, Apple’s overall financial strength remains robust, with $383 billion in total revenue and nearly $97 billion in net income in fiscal 2023. The company gained market share in some countries as rivals saw steeper declines. Apple is preparing new iPads for the next year, and despite warnings of a flat December quarter, analysts anticipate mild growth in the first half of the year and acceleration afterward, signaling a potential turnaround for the tech giant.


In 2023, Apple experienced a significant stock rally, but this performance was overshadowed by four consecutive quarters of declining revenue, marking the longest such slide for the tech giant since the dot-com bust of 2001. Apple faced challenges due to an adverse economic environment for phones and computers, with total smartphone sales being the slowest in over a decade during the summer. Company-specific issues further compounded the situation, including the absence of new iPad models for the first time since 2010, leading to weakened demand and an absence of official price cuts for older models. Additionally, all current model iPads were reportedly shipping within a day, indicating weak demand. Apple’s fiscal 2023 iPad revenue dropped 3.4% to $28.3 billion, with unit sales falling 15%.

Further impacting Apple’s performance, new Apple Watch models were temporarily removed from U.S. stores due to an intellectual property dispute, resulting in an estimated daily loss of $135 million in sales during the ban. Even for new products like Mac computers, consumers showed less interest in devices with minor upgrades, leading to a nearly 27% sales decline to $10.2 billion in fiscal 2023. Despite these challenges, Apple’s stock managed to rise by 49% for the year, surpassing the Nasdaq’s 44% gain, but it lagged behind its mega-cap tech peers, including Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft, which posted substantial gains ranging from doubling to tripling in value.

To return to revenue growth and support its $3 trillion market cap, Apple is banking on new products and a global recovery in demand for smartphones and laptops. A crucial test comes with the launch of Apple’s first mixed-reality headset, the $3,499 Vision Pro, early next year. Analysts are cautious about its immediate financial impact, with estimates suggesting relatively immaterial revenue of about $1.4 billion if 400,000 headsets are shipped. However, the success of the Vision Pro is seen as more about its longer-term potential and its ability to generate enthusiasm, foot traffic, and buzz for Apple’s existing products.

Apple faces challenges on the international front, hoping for an easing of tensions between the U.S. and China. The company made progress diversifying production away from mainland China in 2023 but faced potential classification as a foreign company by the Chinese government, leading to concerns about iPhone demand in China. Despite its struggles, Apple remains a formidable force with $383 billion in total revenue and nearly $97 billion in net income in fiscal 2023. The company is preparing for the launch of new iPads and aims to resolve intellectual property disputes affecting Apple Watch sales. Analysts anticipate mild growth in the first half of the year and acceleration thereafter, signaling a potential turnaround for Apple after a challenging period of sales declines.

For the full original article on CNBC, please click here: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/29/apple-underperformed-mega-cap-peers-in-2023-due-to-revenue-slide.html