Biden administration’s Medicare drug price negotiations will face major tests in 2024

Biotech
Thursday, December 28th, 2023 5:52 pm EDT

Key Points

  • Medicare Drug Price Negotiations in 2024: The year 2024 is slated to be a groundbreaking period for U.S. healthcare as Medicare engages in direct negotiations with drug manufacturers to establish prices for prescription medications. This marks a significant shift enabled by President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act, granting Medicare unprecedented authority to negotiate drug prices, impacting seniors’ access to medications and potentially setting a precedent for the next decade.
  • Stakes for the Pharmaceutical Industry and Patients: The outcomes of these negotiations hold immense stakes for the pharmaceutical industry, seen as a potential threat to revenue growth, profits, and drug innovation. The final agreed-upon prices will not only determine future revenue losses for drug manufacturers but also serve as a benchmark for other companies anticipating the impact on their sales if selected for future rounds of negotiations. Simultaneously, these negotiated prices are crucial for patients, offering a glimpse into potential savings at a time when many older individuals grapple with the increasing challenge of affording essential medications.
  • Negotiation Timeline and Legal Battles: The negotiation process, initiated by the Biden administration, involves the selection of ten prescription drugs for the initial round of talks. Despite legal challenges from major drugmakers like Merck, Johnson & Johnson, Bristol Myers Squibb, and others, agreements were signed by all companies involved in the negotiations. The negotiation timeline includes initial price offers by February 1, counteroffers and discussions, and a final price offer by July 15. Failure to reach an agreement by August 1 could result in significant penalties for drugmakers. The legal battles, with decisions expected in the next six months, may shape the future of drug pricing negotiations, potentially reaching the Supreme Court and challenging the constitutionality of the Inflation Reduction Act. Drugmakers argue that the negotiations infringe upon their property rights, violating the Fifth Amendment’s requirement for reasonable compensation.


In 2024, the U.S. healthcare landscape faces a pivotal moment as Medicare embarks on direct negotiations with drug manufacturers for the pricing of prescription medications—a historic shift enabled by President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act. Medicare’s negotiation authority, effective after nearly 60 years, aims to make essential treatments more affordable for seniors. The negotiations will determine prices for the top 50 high-spending drugs in Medicare Part D, affecting millions of patients. The outcomes will be crucial for the pharmaceutical industry, signaling potential revenue losses and influencing drugmakers’ future sales projections. Patients eagerly await the results, as the negotiated prices will reveal the cost-saving impact on their medications amid growing concerns about affordability.

This landmark negotiation process commences with ten selected drugs, including those from major manufacturers like Merck, Johnson & Johnson, AstraZeneca, and Bristol Myers Squibb. The pharmaceutical industry, viewing this process as a threat to revenue growth and innovation, has responded with lawsuits against the Biden administration’s price talks. The legal battles involve major players, and decisions expected in 2024 could elevate the issue to the Supreme Court. The pharmaceutical lobby contends that mandatory price negotiations violate the Fifth Amendment by compelling them to sell medicines at steep discounts.

The negotiation timeline involves the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) making initial price offers on February 1, 2024. Manufacturers then have a month to respond, and negotiations conclude when agreements are reached. If disputes arise, CMS can arrange meetings to explore alternative pricing options. Final price offers must be made by July 15, with a deadline of August 1 for agreements. Failure to reach an agreement could result in a significant excise tax on drug sales or removal of products from Medicare and Medicaid markets. The agreed-upon prices will be published on September 1, setting the stage for subsequent negotiations on 15 drugs each in 2027 and 2028, increasing to 20 drugs annually from 2029.

The impact of these negotiations extends beyond Medicare Part D, with plans to include more specialized drugs covered by Medicare Part B starting in 2028. However, the legal battles may play a decisive role in shaping the future of drug pricing negotiations. Pharmaceutical companies, including Merck, Johnson & Johnson, Bristol Myers Squibb, AstraZeneca, Novo Nordisk, and Novartis, are contesting the constitutionality of the Inflation Reduction Act. Lawsuit decisions expected in the next six months may set the stage for appeals to federal appellate courts and potentially reach the Supreme Court by 2025. The industry’s goal is to challenge the act’s constitutionality and preserve their ability to set prices without government intervention, emphasizing potential violations of the Fifth Amendment.

As 2024 unfolds, the intersection of legal battles and drug price negotiations will shape the future landscape of drug affordability, impacting patients, pharmaceutical companies, and the broader healthcare ecosystem. The decisions and precedents established this year will undoubtedly have far-reaching consequences for the industry, patients, and policymakers alike.

For the full original article on CNBC, please click here: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/28/medicare-drug-price-negotiations-whats-ahead-in-2024.html