Why Exxon and Chevron are doubling down on fossil fuel energy with big acquisitions

Energy
Wednesday, October 25th, 2023 2:04 pm EDT

In a rapidly changing energy landscape marked by the growing momentum of clean and renewable energy sources, Chevron and Exxon Mobil have made significant strategic moves by announcing their acquisitions of major oil and gas companies. While the world is shifting toward cleaner energy alternatives, these acquisitions suggest that these oil giants are doubling down on the fossil fuel industry, particularly in the oil sector.

Chevron’s $53 Billion Acquisition of Hess and Exxon Mobil’s $59.5 Billion Purchase of Pioneer Natural Resources

Chevron and Exxon Mobil, two of the world’s largest oil companies, have made headlines with their ambitious acquisitions in the energy sector. Chevron unveiled plans to acquire Hess for $53 billion in stock, while Exxon Mobil announced its acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources for $59.5 billion in stock. These blockbuster deals underscore their commitment to the oil and gas industry.

Divergence from Energy Transition Trends

The acquisitions by Chevron and Exxon stand in stark contrast to the prevailing global trend towards clean and sustainable energy sources. The International Energy Agency (IEA), a leading authority in the energy sector, recently released a report predicting that global demand for coal, oil, and natural gas would reach an all-time high by 2030. However, this projection was accompanied by a strong emphasis on the urgency of transitioning to clean energy.

The IEA’s Executive Director, Fatih Birol, conveyed that “the transition to clean energy is happening worldwide and it’s unstoppable.” He went on to stress that the question is not “if” but “how soon” the transition will occur. Nevertheless, Chevron and Exxon’s acquisitions send a different message, indicating that they believe in the enduring value of the oil and gas industry.

Geopolitical and Strategic Factors

Several factors underpin these acquisitions by Chevron and Exxon, pointing to both strategic considerations and geopolitical factors:

Stricter Regulations in Europe: European oil majors have faced increasingly stringent emissions regulations and environmental commitments. It is likely that these regulations will prompt them to divest their global reserves in the coming decade. Chevron and Exxon are strategically positioning themselves to benefit from this shift.

Political Landscape in the U.S.: On the domestic front, the U.S. is unlikely to impose rigorous climate policies targeting the oil and gas sector. This political landscape may not compel domestic oil and gas companies to restrain or limit production. Chevron and Exxon are banking on the notion that the U.S. government will not take measures to curtail domestic oil and gas production, thereby maintaining a favorable environment for their industry.

Known and Accessible Reserves: The acquisitions aim to secure oil and gas reserves that can be brought to market relatively quickly. These reserves are considered highly valuable in light of the limited exploration for new reserves and the uncertainty surrounding the pace of the energy transition. In this context, short-cycle shale reserves, such as those obtained in the acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources, are particularly attractive. Shale reserves can be developed within months, offering flexibility in responding to oil and gas price fluctuations.

Energy Transition Uncertainty: While the world is transitioning to cleaner energy sources, there remains significant demand for oil and gas, especially in emerging economies where populations are growing and ascending the socioeconomic ladder. Oil and gas continue to be cost-effective, easily transportable, and storable sources of energy. The adaptability of hydrocarbons to a wide range of applications, coupled with their cost efficiency, ensures that they will remain vital components of the energy mix for the foreseeable future.

Electrification of Passenger Vehicles: The growing popularity of electric vehicles (EVs) is frequently highlighted, but it is crucial to remember that EVs are just one segment of the transportation sector. Many other aspects of transportation, including petrochemicals, aviation, and heavy-duty trucking, will continue to rely on fossil fuels.

Responding to Geopolitical Pressures

These acquisitions are not only rooted in strategic planning but are also a response to geopolitical pressures. Sanctions imposed on state-controlled oil and gas companies in countries like Russia, Venezuela, and Iran are providing Chevron and Exxon with an opening in the global energy market. They are positioning themselves to fill potential market shortfalls with their own production, even in a scenario where overall oil demand decreases due to decarbonization policies around the world.

The Importance of Known Oil Reserves

One notable aspect of these acquisitions is the focus on known oil and gas reserves. European and American governments are increasingly limiting the exploration for new reserves, making existing known reserves even more valuable. Both Pioneer Natural Resources and Hess possess well-established oil and gas reserves with the potential for significant expansion and diversification. These reserves offer flexibility and speed in a market characterized by uncertainty.

In conclusion, Chevron and Exxon’s acquisitions of major oil and gas companies signify their strong commitment to the oil sector, even in the face of a global shift towards clean energy. These moves are driven by a combination of strategic, geopolitical, and economic factors, highlighting the enduring importance of oil and gas reserves in the ever-evolving energy landscape. While the world is undoubtedly transitioning to cleaner energy sources, these acquisitions demonstrate that the oil and gas industry will remain a critical component of the global energy mix for years to come.

For the full original article on CNBC, please click here: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/25/why-exxon-chevron-are-doubling-down-on-fossil-fuel-energy.html